The public is blindly riding Ottawa as the puck-line favorite at -218 because they're sitting 4th in the Atlantic, but the crowd never does its homework — Buffalo is at HOME and Ottawa just got torched 6-3 in Anaheim in their last game on a brutal West Coast road trip. Meanwhile, Buffalo's real problem child, Rasmus Dahlin, was already sidelined before this stretch, meaning the Sabres are battle-tested without him, while Ottawa is limping back East with a banged-up lineup including two goalies on IR. At +180, fading the chalk and backing Buffalo to win this outright in their own barn is exactly the kind of value the sheep-public is leaving on the table.